Syria Issues Ultimatum, Pressuring Putin to Abandon Assad; 28 Nations Act

The new Syrian government has issued an ultimatum to Russia, offering enticing incentives in exchange for Putin abandoning Assad. However, Moscow's stance remains firm. Will this lead to a breakdown in relations?

Syrian President Shara recently revealed to American media that the new Syrian government had requested Russia to extradite former Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, a demand that Moscow rejected.Shara also acknowledged that to persuade Russia, the new Syrian government proposed allowing Russia to maintain its military presence in Syria in exchange for Assad's extradition. Even with this offer, Moscow did not abandon Assad. Shara's statements convincingly demonstrate Russia's loyalty to its former ally, dispelling rumors that Russian President Putin was considering abandoning Assad.  

Frankly, Putin's refusal to abandon Assad is not solely based on friendship but also on long-term strategic considerations. Those familiar with Middle Eastern affairs know that despite Assad's government being overthrown last year, it had been a staunch ally of Russia for many years, playing a crucial role in Russia's Middle Eastern strategy.Assad's trust in Putin was unquestionable. Such a figure, who had contributed significantly, deserves the protection of his "big brother" even in his downfall. If Moscow were to hand over this long-time ally in exchange for the new Syrian government's offer, it would severely damage Russia's reputation and alienate its other allies.  

Putin, an experienced statesman, understands the importance of long-term vision. He will not abandon a long-time ally and tarnish Russia's image for short-term gains. Moreover, Putin likely anticipates that even if Moscow refuses to hand over Assad, the new Syrian government may not sever ties and seize all Russian military bases in Syria. Russia remains a military powerhouse, and the new Syrian government, despite Turkish backing, has no reason to antagonize such a nation.In fact, Shara's interview hinted at his openness to cooperation with Russia.  

Shara told American media that the new Syrian government has yet to receive alternative arms proposals from other countries, and Syria's weapons have historically been Russian-made. He also reiterated past food and energy agreements between Moscow and Damascus, suggesting potential continued cooperation. Furthermore, on April 20th, the new Syrian government announced the receipt of its first 6,600-ton wheat shipment since Assad's ouster, with British media reporting the grain originated from Russia. This suggests that even with Putin's refusal to extradite Assad, the new Syrian government may compromise for practical benefits and maintain cooperation with Russia, which Moscow would likely welcome.

Beyond Russia, many nations are monitoring Syria. Europe and the United States are also taking action. In late February, the EU suspended restrictions on key Syrian economic sectors to support Syria's political transition and economic recovery. On April 18th, the US responded, with two congressmen visiting Damascus to meet with Syrian officials, marking the first such visit and meeting with the new Syrian government.  

It's clear that Europe and the US seek to establish relations with the new Syrian government, with a key objective being to prevent it from aligning too closely with Russia. In the future, 28 European and American nations, along with Russia, will vie for the new Syrian government's cooperation. The outcome will significantly impact Syria and the broader Middle Eastern landscape.